Snow Day

We drove into Worcester this morning (don't ask). We're hunkered down here and we're not going out until the plows get this taken care of. How's it look back East on the other side of the lake? Roads clear yet?

Senate Results - Live Blog

10:08pm:  Good night.

10:04pm:  Current results state-wide: Coakley 47%, Capuano 28%, Khazei 13%, Pagliuca 12%.  Pretty damned close to my predictions.  Full numbers tomorrow, if I get around to it.  Could be a snow day.

9:42pm:  In Alford, Khazei got 37 votes.  Coakley got 25, Capuano got 9 and Pagliuca 2.  Whoopie.

9:37pm:  Turns out in Heath it was 19-16, not 11-9.  Good job, Jackie.  I mean, Jack E.

9:24pm:  Capuano is making a nice concession speech.  "The Attorney General  was a pretty good candidate."  Is that damning with faint praise?

9:21pm:  The January 19 general election is going to be a three person race!  Democrat Coakley and Republican Brown also have to battle Independent (though Libertarian-leaning) Joseph L. Kennedy, who's no relation to the late Ted.  Kennedy got on the ballot via petition.

9:14pm:  Robinson won in Heath.  There's a town called "Heath" in northwestern Franklin County.  I think he took 11 votes to Brown's 9 votes.  Take the hint, Scott.

9:10pm:  Capuano won in Boston, Cambridge, Somerville, Amherst, and a few other towns that have reported so far.  Martha won the rest of them handily.

9:09pm:  Khazei won in Alford.  Good for him.

9:02pm:  I had predicted precinct 1 would have the highest turnout and precinct 3 would be the lowest.  I was spot on with the highest.  Precinct one had 23% turnout.  Precinct 3, however, was the second lowest by a nose.  Precinct 4 had 17.29% and precinct 3 had 17.31%.

8:56pm:  I'm calling it for Martha Coakley.  The numbers are fungible, but it's clear she's the winner.

8:54pm: My turnout prediction was bad.  I predicted 12% townwide.  The result was actually 19.4%.

8:48pm: Who could vote?  This is slightly confusing, and it's how I understand it:

In a party primary election in Massachusetts, a registered voter may take a ballot for the voter's party only.  There two tweaks, however:

1)  "Unenrolled" voters may take a ballot for Democrats, Republicans, or Libertarians.  This does not change their party affiliation (as it used to do before the law was changed a few years ago).

2) Voters in "designated" groups which are not technically parties like the Dems, GOP, or Libertarian may NOT participate in the primary.  That includes Green/Rainbow, Working People, and whatever else there is.

8:43pm: Here are Shrewsbury's results:

There were 3,099 votes cast for Democrats:

Coakley: 49.8%

Capuano: 24.6%

Pagliuca: 14.2%

Khazei: 11.4%

There were 1,137 votes cast for GOP candidates:

Brown: 88.8%

Robinson: 11.2%

Turnout: 19.4%

8:35pm: They've called the GOP race for Scott Brown, duh.  He's leading 89-11.  I predicted 87-10.  Let's wait for the final numbers.

My Predictions - U.S. Senate Edition

As always, I'm a glutton for such things. I like to predict not just the winners, not just the margins, but also the turnout. I'm rarely correct, but I'll lord it over you if any of these numbers are right. So here goes:

For the Democrats:

52% Martha Coakley

23% Mike Capuano

14% Alan Khazei

10% Steve Pagliuca

1% Write-in/other

For the GOP:

87% Scott Brown

10% Jack Robinson

3% Write-in/other

Turn-out:

12% in Shrewsbury

• Highest in precinct 1/Town Hall

• Lowest in precinct 3/Coolidge (or pct 9/Centech)

10% in Massachusetts, state-wide

Hold me to it!!!!

Standing Out In The Cold

I'm going to be standing outside of town hall holding a sign for Martha Coakley this morning.

Please come by and say hello.

And, if you have the time, why not vote while you're at it?

Turnout will be very low; and the weather will be very cold. So I'll be lonely and shivering. It might be less cold (a.k.a. "warmer") today than yesterday, but cold nonetheless.

Warm me up by waving or honking or even getting out of your car to say 'Hi.' I expect to be there from about 9am to 11am, with a little break around 10 to phone in numbers from a different precinct. I'm not dedicated enough to stay longer. I'm literally a fair weather friend. But maybe I'll come back during lunchtime.

Stay warm, homies.